Since 2006-2020, the national viscose staple fiber production capacity has experienced a state of rapid growth-slow growth-rapid growth. Among them, the period of rapid growth in production capacity was during 2006-2012, followed by After the price continued to fall, the rate of new production capacity of viscose staple fiber slowed down, until profits improved from 2016 to 2017, which in turn led to a rapid increase in the growth rate of viscose staple fiber production capacity, with the time period concentrated between 2017 and 2019. , but then the value price continued to decline. It is expected that starting from 2020, viscose staple fiber will experience another 3-5 years of slowdown in production capacity growth. Comprehensive calculation, from 2006 to 2020, the viscose staple fiber production capacity will be The average load growth rate reached 11.32%. The total national production capacity of viscose staple fiber in 2020 is 5.245 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.06% compared to 2019.
Figure 1 Changes in China’s viscose staple fiber production capacity from 2006 to 2020
Looking at the distribution of viscose staple fiber production capacity in 2020, the total production capacity of viscose staple fiber in Xinjiang is 1.06 million tons, accounting for 20% of the country’s total production capacity. The viscose staple fiber companies in the region are led by Zhongtai Group Xinjiang mainly produces conventional white cotton-type viscose staple fiber. Most of the products of the Korla factory are digested in Xinjiang. Due to the long-term production reduction in Alar supply in 2020, the number of supply sources sent to the mainland has also decreased. During the year, a set of equipment in Changji is in the long-term. In the shutdown state, Xinjiang’s actual effective production capacity is 1 million tons. There are four viscose staple fiber companies distributed in Jiangsu, which involve certain differentiated products, with a total production capacity of 885,000 tons, accounting for 17%.
Figure 2 Production capacity distribution map of main viscose staple fiber production areas in 2020
Looking at the ranking of the groups to which viscose staple fiber companies belong in 2020, the proportion of production capacity of large companies continues to increase. Among them, Golden Eagle Group, Tangshan Group, Zhongtai Group, and Siliya Group have the highest viscose staple fiber production capacity. Ranking among the top four in the country, it accounts for 26.98% of the total production capacity of the viscose staple fiber industry (20.96% in 2019), Tangshan Group 15.25%, Zhongtai Group 13.35%, and Siliya Group 8.96%.
In terms of the nature of viscose staple fiber manufacturing enterprises in 2020, state-owned holding enterprises accounted for 47.38% of the production capacity, foreign capital accounted for 31.74%, and private ownership accounted for only 20.88%.
In terms of global viscose staple fiber production capacity, apart from China, Indonesia is the largest in the world The second largest producer of viscose staple fiber has a production capacity of 850,000 tons/year of viscose staple fiber. The third largest producer of viscose staple fiber is India with 600,000 tons/year. In addition, Austria and Thailand also have 280,000 tons/year and 180,000 tons/year respectively. annual viscose staple fiber production capacity.
Viscose staple fiber has experienced a 2-year decline since late August. In 2020 The cash flow for the whole year is even negative, so there is no expectation of new production capacity in 2021. On the contrary, if Xinxiang and Changji’s 60,000 tons and 100,000 tons of equipment are excluded for a long time, it is expected that viscose production in 2021 The annual short fiber production capacity may even be reduced to 5.085 million tons. However, we still need to pay attention to the progress of Jinguang Cellulose Fiber’s 2 million tons/year project in Yancheng in the future.
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