Friends, have you ever thought about this question: Why has the climate been so unpredictable in recent years? It’s so hot in the summer, but so cold in the winter that it turns purple. What’s the reason for this? What’s wrong with the earth?
In fact, the mastermind behind all this is Miss La Nina.
According to reports, the United Nations World Meteorological Organization issued a statement that starting in 2020, the “La Niña phenomenon” will affect the global climate. What is worrying is that this year, the “La Niña phenomenon” will appear again. This is also the earth’s biggest problem since the 21st century For the first time in history, “La Nina” has appeared for three consecutive years.
“Triple” La Niña phenomenon hits the world
Will this winter be a “cold winter” in our country?
As the earth’s multiple climate critical points have been broken one after another in recent years, atmospheric circulation has become abnormal, which will lead to the climate of the entire earth becoming more and more “magical”, and strange climate phenomena will appear in many parts of the world: in summer It will be hotter in winter and colder in winter.
This year, many places in our country have experienced extreme high temperatures in the summer, but there is no doubt that after winter, our country is very likely to experience more severe extreme cold weather due to the influence of “triple” La Niña.
Cold winter weather boosts domestic demand for autumn and winter clothing
Down jackets may be hot sellers
For the textile and apparel market, temperature changes must be an important factor affecting the textile market. Historical data shows that clothing sales are closely linked to the temperature of the season. Temperature changes brought about by the change of seasons are a key influencing factor for people to choose to buy new clothes. Especially during winter, the demand for cold protection brought by low temperatures will significantly stimulate consumers’ willingness to buy winter clothes.
Taking Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou as representatives, it was found that relatively obvious low-temperature weather occurred in the second half of the winter of 2011, 2012, and 2017. Correspondingly, the growth rate of autumn and winter clothing retail sales in 2011 and 2012 was 27.06% respectively. % and 20.20%, which are 2.86 and 2.20 percentage points higher than the corresponding years.
This situation is also reflected in the down jacket segment. However, due to the northern distribution of China’s down jacket industry belt and the different main markets, different regions will still have different performances. The down jacket industry belt in China can be divided into two factions: northern and southern. For example, for foreign trade orders mainly exported to Russia, supply chain factories are mainly concentrated in several northern regions such as Hebei, Shandong, and Tianjin. The industrial belt in the south is mainly located in Changshu and its surrounding areas. It is also widely distributed in Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Hangzhou. It mainly targets the supply of down jackets for the domestic market.
The textile market that depends on the weather:
The market may be catalyzed due to the cold winter
Whether the market is good or not is related to market rules that depend on the weather. In the textile market, gallbladder is used as a matching fabric for autumn and winter clothing fabrics such as down jackets and cotton jackets. It is mainly made of conventional fabrics such as pongee, polyester taffeta, and nylon. , with annual national sales reaching tens of billions of meters, it is a focus of the autumn and winter textile market. The fourth quarter is Danbu’s home field. The colder the weather, the greater the market volume. It is a typical “eat by the weather” type of product. According to the tradition of previous years, the best selling period of gallbladder is from October to November.
However, due to the special reasons of the epidemic this year, the market has fluctuated significantly. Taking nylon fabric, a commonly used fabric for down jackets, as an example, the price of gray fabrics has experienced a sharp rise and fall within a year, while the 380T and 400T nylon fabrics have dropped from a high of 6 yuan/meter. The roller coaster has dropped to more than 2 yuan per meter now. The subsequent market trends are unpredictable, which inevitably leads to worries.
In order to avoid a similar situation from happening again, Mr. Bu needs to treat it calmly while welcoming the market’s “year-end carnival” market recently. In particular, the recent continued fluctuations in polyester raw materials have put downstream weaving factories at great risk in stocking up. Although it has almost become a tradition for cloth bosses to stock up on raw materials before the end of the year, there are also many cloth bosses who make mistakes in stocking up. The same is true for fabric traders. Do not stock too much stock and blindly follow the trend of production.
Regarding the future trends of clothing fabrics such as nylon fabrics and gallbladder fabrics, the vast majority of textile people hold this attitude. For products that rely on the weather, the biggest fear is unsatisfactory weather. Now that cold air is expected, it may be able to drive a wave of market prices for winter clothing fabrics.
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