The prosperity monitoring results of the China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in July 2021, the prosperity index of national textile and apparel professional market managers was 50.38, an increase of 0.38 percentage points from 50.00 in June; the prosperity index of professional market merchants was 49.73, an increase from 6 The monthly reading was 49.71, an increase of 0.02 percentage points. In July, the textile and clothing professional market was basically stable, and the overall situation was the same as in June.
1. The prosperity of managers and merchants is basically the same
Data show that in July, the national The various prosperity indices of textile and apparel professional market managers and merchants were overall the same as in June.
1. Managers’ prosperity index increased by 0.38 percentage points
Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch
From the perspective of the manager’s prosperity index, among the total index, the manager’s prosperity index in July was 50.38, which was 6 The monthly reading was 50.00, an increase of 0.38 percentage points; the business environment index was 51.29, an increase of 0.64 percentage points from 50.65 in June.
Among the sub-indexes, the total operating volume index was 50.65, an increase of 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in June; the logistics shipment volume index was 50.65, an increase of 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in June. percentage points; the passenger flow index was 50.32, an increase of 0.64 percentage points from 49.68 in June; the opening rate index was 50.65, an increase of 0.33 percentage points from 50.32 in June; the rent index was 49.68, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in June; e-commerce The sales index was 50.32, an increase of 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in June.
2. The merchant prosperity index increased by 0.02 percentage points
Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch
From the perspective of merchant prosperity index, among the total index, the merchant prosperity index in July was 49.73, compared with 49.71 in June An increase of 0.02 percentage points; the business environment index was 50.14, a decrease of 0.34 percentage points from 50.48 in June.
Among the sub-indexes, the sales volume index was 49.11, down 0.48 percentage points from 49.59 in June; the average selling price index was 49.52, up 0.68 percentage points from 48.84 in June; The profitability index was 48.97, down 0.48 percentage points from 49.45 in June; the comprehensive cost index was 50.82, up 1.64 percentage points from 49.18 in June; the inventory index was 49.79, down 0.55 percentage points from 50.34 in June; e-commerce sales The index was 50.14, down 0.75 percentage points from 50.89 in June.
II. Data analysis
1. Total market operation and logistics shipment volume index are generally stable.
In June, 67.74% of the total operating volume of the selected markets remained unchanged, 61.29% of the selected markets’ logistics shipment volume remained unchanged, and 64.52% of the selected markets’ passenger traffic remained unchanged. , both exceeded 60%, the total market operation index and logistics shipment volume index were overall stable, and the off-season sales in the textile and apparel professional market continued.
2. The total merchant sales volume and profit index are generally stable
In June, merchant sales were selected The proportion of total sales remaining the same was 86.99%, and the proportion of selected merchants maintaining the same profitability was 88.36%. The total merchant sales index and profitability index were both overall stable, and merchants and professional markets entered the off-season of sales simultaneously.
3. The prediction index declined slightly overall
The data shows that in terms of managers, the next management The business climate index was 50.00, down 0.65 percentage points from 50.65 in June; the business environment index for the next period was 49.68, the same as June. In terms of merchants, the merchant prosperity index for the next period is 50.14, down 0.34 percentage points from 50.48 in June; the business environment index for the next period is 50.07, down 0.41 percentage points from 50.48 in June. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants declined slightly. Affected by floods, epidemics, and abnormal weather, professional market managers and merchants in various places are not very confident about sales in August.
Attachment:
1. Monitoring methods
The “Textile and Garment Professional Market Sentiment Index” consists of two parts: “Manager Index” and “Merchant Index”. Using a sampling method, markets and merchants in different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles, and small commodities were selected across the country, and the manager’s prosperity index questionnaire and merchant’s prosperity index questionnaire were filled in respectively.
2. Monitoring samples
Managers’ prosperity samples were collected from Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market and Beijing Tianya It consists of 32 professional textile and clothing markets, including Women’s Clothing Building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market, and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The merchant prosperity sample consists of more than 150 merchants, including Taotao Clothing, Muzi Caowu, Ruili Hanshi, and Zhedi Clothing.
3. Monitoring cycle
The business climate monitoring cycle is based on monthly units and is reported at the end of each month. , released at the beginning of the next month.
4. Index composition
In the “Textile and Garment Professional Market Sentiment Index”, “Managers “Index” is composed of four primary indexes: the current period’s manager’s prosperity index, the next period’s manager’s prosperity index, the current period’s operating environment index, and the next period’s operating environment index; the “current period’s manager’s prosperity index” is composed of the total business volume index, logistics delivery index It consists of six secondary indexes: volume index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index, and e-commerce sales index.
“Merchant Index”�It is composed of four primary indexes: the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; the “merchant prosperity index of the current period” consists of the sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index, It is composed of six secondary indexes: comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.
5. Index analysis
The positive index includes the manager’s total business index, logistics and delivery Volume index, customer flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it means that the business situation is optimistic. The larger the value, the more optimistic it is. If the positive index is lower than 50, it means the business situation is not optimistic. The smaller the value, the more pessimistic it is.
The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. If the cost and expense index exceeds 50, it means that the merchant’s cost pressure is decreasing. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure. The cost and expense index is lower than 50, which means that the merchant’s cost pressure is increasing. The smaller the number, the greater the cost pressure. If the inventory index exceeds 50, it means that the merchant’s inventory pressure is reduced. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure. If the inventory index is lower than 50, it means that the merchant’s inventory pressure is increasing. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure. </p
